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Mozambique's Economy Sees Steepest Decline in Seven Years Due to Post-Election Unrest

© Photo AI-generated imageClosed shops (illustrative image).
Closed shops (illustrative image). - Sputnik Africa, 1920, 21.02.2025
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About a decade ago, Mozambique's status as one of Africa's fastest-growing economies faltered due to a $2 billion debt scandal that resulted in a default. This, along with an Islamic State-linked insurgency, has hindered economic activity and delayed $50 billion in natural gas projects from companies like TotalEnergies SE and ExxonMobil Corp.
Mozambique's economy experienced its largest contraction in at least seven years during the fourth quarter, as post-election protests disrupted business activities, the National Statistics Institute reportedly has said in an emailed statement.
The GDP fell by 4.9% in the three months ending in December compared to the same period the previous year, which marks a sharp reversal from the previous quarter's 3.7% growth and exceeds the economic slump seen during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.
The downturn was driven by widespread post-election protests following the contentious October 9 vote, which disrupted business activity and strained government revenues.
A Satellite view of the Total Mozambique LNG Project under construction in Afungi, within the Cabo Delgado province, Mozambique. Imaged 21 February 2024.  - Sputnik Africa, 1920, 22.01.2025
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These challenges have further exacerbated Mozambique’s existing debt problems, prompting S&P Global Ratings to downgrade the country’s local currency credit rating to CCC-, signaling a high risk of default.
To address imminent maturities on local currency securities this year, the government is reportedly set to engage with commercial lenders for discussions on a potential swap auction. If this process resembles a distressed debt exchange, S&P may reclassify Mozambique’s credit status to "SD" (selective default).
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