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Cocoa Prices Unlikely to Fall Much This Year Despite Higher Production, Media Says

© AP Photo / Emanuel EkraWorkers load cocoa beans for shipment at the port in Abidjan, Ivory Coast, Tuesday, May 10, 2011.
Workers load cocoa beans for shipment at the port in Abidjan, Ivory Coast, Tuesday, May 10, 2011.  - Sputnik Africa, 1920, 19.08.2024
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Last year, the shortage of cocoa beans on the world market led to a sharp rise in cocoa bean prices, which peaked in the second half of April at a record price of almost $12,000 per tonne.
Weather conditions will become more favorable, which will lead to an increase in world production of cocoa beans by about 10%, causing their supply to exceed demand for the first time in four seasons, US media reported.
However, the spread of chocolate tree diseases will hardly allow a return to previous prices. According to analysts at Fitch Solutions, quoted by the publication, the price of cocoa futures could fall from $11,000 to $7,000 per ton, while their average price over the past decade has been less than $2,000.
Cocoa pods hang on a tree in Divo, West-Central Ivory Coast - Sputnik Africa, 1920, 20.07.2024
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Other factors that will keep prices at a relatively high level, as the agency notes, are the policies of the authorities of countries - exporters of cocoa, preventing foreign investment in its production. Such countries are primarily Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire.
As for other major players in the cocoa market, Cameroon and Nigeria, which benefited from the recent price increase, also expect production growth while hoping for a continuation of the current price trend.
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