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Global Rice Prices Boiling Over: African and Asian Nations May Face Shortages, Expert Says

© AP Photo / Channi AnandAn Indian laborer dries rice crop on the outskirts of Jammu, India, Friday, Dec. 11, 2020
An Indian laborer dries rice crop on the outskirts of Jammu, India, Friday, Dec. 11, 2020 - Sputnik Africa, 1920, 06.07.2023
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With low production of rice in many countries and exports dropping, experts now predict that the world may experience its largest deficit between supply and demand in 2023.
As rice export prices continue to augment to their highest levels in eleven years, reports have indicated that several countries in Asia and Africa could face shortages this year.
Since the beginning of the Ukraine conflict, the price of grains and other crops has been increasing due to Western sanctions on the export of Russian fertilizers, thereby threatening global food security.
G.V. Ramanjaneyulu, executive director at India's Centre for Sustainable Agriculture, spoke with Sputnik and explained that there are many reasons behind the rise in the price of rice, including the increase in the cost of fertilizers, climate change, and countries not wanting to grow rice due to its harmful effect on the environment.
"Overall, the cost of rice production has gone up," the expert said.

"One of the key reasons why prices are going up is rice cultivation across the globe is going down. Many countries have cut down the production of rice because of its impact on the environment. Rice requires more water and energy, so many countries are moving away. Rice is a water-intensive crop," Dr Ramanjaneyulu explained.

"However, nothing the same is happening in India. Rice cultivation is high in India, at the same it is the world's most populated country and rice is a staple food in more than 90% of Indian kitchens," Ramanjaneyulu shared.
India exported nearly 56 million tonnes of rice in 2022, accounting for more than 40 percent of global rice exports. The export price has increased in India and other top global producers including Bangladesh, China, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam.
Villagers in Sampwe, Katanga, carry bags full of WFP food aid airdropped in the morning, 15 April 2006. - Sputnik Africa, 1920, 20.06.2023
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Weather Phenomena

Meanwhile, erratic weather patterns like El Nino also impact crop production.

"El Nino is impacting rice output in almost all producing countries," Nitin Gupta, vice president of Olam India's rice business, told media.

Global rice inventories are set to drop to a six-year low of 170.2 million tonnes by the end of 2023/24, as stocks fall in top producers China and India, the US Department of Agriculture has said, after rising demand in recent years.
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