Sub-Saharan Africa
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Ghana's Main Opposition Leader is Favored to Win Presidential Election in December

To win the presidential election in Ghana, a candidate needs a majority of votes. If no one achieves this, a runoff takes place. Parliamentary elections use a first-past-the-post system, where the candidate with the most votes in each constituency wins.
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A recent poll by Global InfoAnalytics suggests that Ghana's main opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) leader, John Mahama, is favored to win the December 7 presidential election.
The poll shows Mahama with 52% support, leading incumbent Vice President Bawumia from the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP) by over 10 percentage points. The poll, which has a 1.9% margin of error, highlights voters' primary concerns: the economy, jobs, education, and infrastructure.
The two main contenders are facing off in a tight race, with both presenting plans to address Ghana's current economic crisis, which has been the worst in recent history. Mahama's previous presidency (2012-2017) saw significant infrastructure investments, but also faced challenges including power shortages, economic instability, and corruption allegations. Bawumia, an economist and former central banker, is running on the promise of his expertise to revitalize the economy.
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While the race for Ghana's presidency is largely between Mahama and Bawumia, ten other candidates are also vying for the top spot. Among them are Nana Kwame Bediako, a businessman with a strong social media presence, and Alan Kyerematen, a former minister who left the NPP after claiming bias in the presidential primaries.
Despite securing a $3 billion IMF bailout in 2023, Ghana's economic recovery process remains challenging. Analysts, including the Economist Intelligence Unit and Fitch Solutions, predict an NDC victory due to the NPP's economic record.