"I think it's, as we like to say, a shot in the dark [...] It will work, but it won't be able to profoundly affect the political line adopted by the new authorities because it is in contempt of these pressures, and these authorities also have room for maneuver to be able, with other countries, to circumvent banking measures and customs measures, which are taken, and measures even against raw materials," he explained.
Fight against terrorism
"If the economic level is strongly impacted, it will therefore have repercussions in the military capacity of these states to project themselves forward against terrorism. But the important question which should not be underestimated is the empowerment of the populations themselves. […] Because the real problem in the fight against terrorism is at what level, to what degree do the populations get involved in this fight? […] In this context, the international sanctions by ECOWAS and the EU against Niger are pushing the Nigerien people to wake up," the researcher stated.
"When you are not considered, when your abilities are underestimated, you do not project yourself to participate in the defense of your country. But at present, there is a national feeling which emerges. So there is patriotism which is nascent and which therefore pushes people to act", he underlined.
Possible humanitarian crisis
"It is not excluded, it is possible, but there is a momentum of solidarity currently developing between Niger and the countries which do not support the sanctions. Today already, we learn that a country like Algeria sent at least one convoy and hundreds of trucks loaded with food products towards Niger," he said.
Russian aid
"Should we turn to Russia or should we be a little cautious? These states will be encouraged to follow the same dynamic as Mali because these states have the assurance that, in case of sanctions, there is therefore a great power like Russia which can at any time oppose the sanctions and even open a boulevard quite quickly to connect these states to other states and which are in the same boat," he concluded.